August 29, 2026
2026 Emmys Predictions in Every Category (Final)


Varietyย Awards Circuitย section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,ย Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated byย Varietyย chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change in response to buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Mariska Hargitay

Michael Schwartz for Variety


Primetime Emmys Predictions Commentary All Categories (Updated: Aug. 29, 2026): โ€œThe tribe has spoken.โ€

For the first time in a while, theย Emmyย race feels genuinely quiteย settledย in the drama race,ย whileย the comedy field has a legitimate insurgent, and the limited series category isย anyoneโ€™sย to lose.ย The ceremony could be a nail-biter.ย 

HBO Maxโ€™s medical drama and last yearโ€™s reigning drama champion โ€œThe Pittโ€ turned a real-time gimmick into the networkโ€™s defining series of the year. Apple TVโ€™s horror hit โ€œWidowโ€™s Bayโ€ bulldozed its way into the comedy conversation. At the same time, Netflixโ€™s anthology series โ€œBeefโ€ returned to the fold to take on HBOโ€™s murder-mystery โ€œDTF St. Louis.โ€ย 

If the final predictions hold, the same year โ€œHacksโ€ set the all-time comedy nomination record with 24 โ€” surpassing the 23-nom mark โ€œThe Studioโ€ tied with โ€œThe Bearโ€ just last year โ€” the Katie Dippold-created horror gem โ€œWidowโ€™s Bayโ€ is projected to win an astounding 15 Emmys, including outstanding comedy series. That would make it the most awarded comedy series in a single year, breaking the record โ€œThe Studioโ€ set only last year with 13.

So where does that leave โ€œHacks?โ€ The fifth and final season of Jean Smartโ€™s Deborah Vance is projected for a single win โ€” a record-setting eighth acting Emmy for Smart โ€” while losing everywhere else. But the margin is razor-thin, and it points at a not-so-great possible record that could be set. If Lisa Kudrow pulls off what many consider to be impossible and eeks out a lead comedy actress win for the final season of โ€œThe Comebackโ€ โ€” denying Smart in the one category โ€œHacksโ€ is otherwise projected to take โ€” and if the show is blanked across the Creative Arts categories as well, the beloved farewell would back into a brutal headline: the most Emmy losses in a single season in history, surpassing the 21 that โ€œThe Handmaidโ€™s Taleโ€ lost in 2021.

That shouldnโ€™t bum out HBO Max too much, because the network is still projected to dominate the nights overall. โ€œThe Pittโ€ is expected to grow on its freshman tally of five to as many as seven, repeating in drama series and for Noah Wyle, Katherine LaNasa and casting.

The limited race looks tighter โ€” HBOโ€™s โ€œDTF St. Louisโ€ is most notably in play โ€” but the second season of Netflixโ€™s anthology โ€œBeefโ€ should squeak it out with six wins, helped by projected acting victories for Oscar Isaac and Carey Mulligan.

Thanks to a new โ€œarea awardโ€ format โ€” voters now judge each nominee against an approval threshold rather than picking one winner โ€” the variety series category can crown more than one show. That could hand a beloved farewell to Stephen Colbert, whose โ€œLate Showโ€ won its first Emmy only last year and signs off in 2026, while simultaneously delivering a long-denied first series trophy to Jimmy Kimmel after a year spent tangling with the president and the F.C.C. In this category, in this format, they donโ€™t have to beat each other.

In other variety categories: โ€œThe Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunnyโ€ is expected to become the most-awarded Super Bowl halftime show in Emmy history, surpassing the 2022 Dr. Dre/Snoop Dogg/Eminem LVI show, which won three. It would also be the first Spanish-language program to win variety special (live) โ€” and Bad Bunnyโ€™s first Emmy.

In variety special (pre-recorded), Taylor Swift is expected to win her first competitive Emmy โ€” as a producer of her Disney+ โ€œEras Tourโ€ special โ€” even as her other awards ambitions play out well beyond television. Her โ€œToy Story 5โ€ณ song โ€œI Knew It, I Knew Youโ€ is an early Oscar hopeful in the best original song race, while her album, โ€œThe Life of a Showgirlโ€ will be seeking Grammy Awards consideration this cycle. Swift has technically been an Emmy winner since 2015, when โ€œAMEX Unstaged: Taylor Swift Experienceโ€ took the juried prize for original interactive program. But a pre-recorded win would be her first competitive Emmy, chipping the asterisk off an EGOT-aspiring rรฉsumรฉ.

While CBSโ€™ โ€œSurvivor,โ€ coming off its landmark 50th season, looked like it could finally win its first statue for competition program, Peacockโ€™s โ€œThe Traitorsโ€ appears poised to edge it out, though itโ€™s close.

A handful of races remain in flux, which only adds pressure to an evening emceed by Emmy winner (and Variety cover star) Mariska Hargitay, likely to become the first person to hold Emmy wins for acting (thanks โ€œLaw and Orderโ€) and documentary, if she wins either doc series or director for โ€œMy Mom Jayne.โ€

The Creative Arts ceremonies honoring the artisans, plus the Governors Gala, take place Sept. 5-6. The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards air Sept. 14 on NBC.

Courtesy Images

Final Predicted Emmy Wins by Series: โ€œWidowโ€™s Bayโ€ (15); โ€œThe Pittโ€ (7); โ€œBeefโ€ (6); โ€œThe Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunnyโ€ and โ€œThe Traitorsโ€ (5); โ€œDTF St. Louisโ€ (4); โ€œA Knight of the Seven Kingdoms,โ€ โ€œOcean With David Attenborough,โ€ โ€œPluribus,โ€ โ€œSaturday Night Live,โ€ โ€œStranger Things,โ€ โ€œTaylor Swift | The Eras Tour | The Final Showโ€ and โ€œWednesdayโ€ (3); โ€œThe Beast in Me,โ€ โ€œBilly Joel: And So It Goes,โ€ โ€œBridgerton,โ€ โ€œThe Gilded Age,โ€ โ€œLast Week Tonight With John Oliver,โ€ โ€œThe Late Show With Stephen Colbert,โ€ โ€œSean Combs: The Reckoning,โ€ โ€œSouth Park,โ€ โ€œSpider-Noir,โ€ โ€œTaskโ€ and โ€œWelcome to Wrexhamโ€ (2); โ€œHacksโ€ (1)

Final Predicted Emmy Wins by Networks: HBO Max (28); Apple TV and Netflix (19); NBC (8); Peacock (6); ABC, FX and Prime Video (5); CBS, Comedy Central and National Geographic (4); Disney+ (3); Hulu (2)

How many Emmys each show COULD win: Top Series Leaderboard (range): โ€œWidowโ€™s Bayโ€ (15-17); โ€œBeefโ€ (6-12); โ€œThe Pittโ€ (7-10); โ€œPluribusโ€ (3-9); โ€œHacksโ€ (1-8); โ€œSaturday Night Liveโ€ and โ€œSpider-Noirโ€ (3-7 and 2-7); โ€œDTF St. Louisโ€ and โ€œStranger Thingsโ€ (4-6 and 3-6); โ€œThe Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunnyโ€ and โ€œThe Traitorsโ€ (5-5); โ€œSurvivorโ€ and โ€œWednesdayโ€ (1-5 and 3-5); โ€œA Knight of the Seven Kingdoms,โ€ โ€œOcean With David Attenboroughโ€ and โ€œTaylor Swift | The Eras Tour | The Final Showโ€ (3-4); โ€œThe Beast in Me,โ€ โ€œThe Gilded Ageโ€ and โ€œThe Late Show With Stephen Colbertโ€ (2-4); โ€œLove on the Spectrumโ€ (1-4); โ€œBridgerton,โ€ โ€œSean Combs: The Reckoning,โ€ โ€œSouth Parkโ€ and โ€œTaskโ€ (2-3)

How many Emmys each network COULD win: Netflix (19-48); HBO Max (28-46); Apple TV (19-30); NBC (8-15); Prime Video (5-12); CBS (4-10); ABC (5-10); FX (5-7); National Geographic (4-6); Disney+ (3-6); Hulu (2-6); Peacock (6-6); Comedy Central (3-4); PBS and MTV (1-2); YouTube (1-2)

*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)

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