Airbus targets 870 deliveries in 2026, competition with Boeing tightens

Airbus said it expects to deliver 870 commercial aircraft in 2026, slightly fewer than the roughly 880 analysts had expected. It comes as pressure is building for the European planemaker, with U.S. rival Boeing showing signs of recovery after years of crisis, which has benefited Airbus.

The sentiment around Airbus has turned markedly more sour since the beginning of the year, UBS analyst Ian Douglas-Pennant said ahead of the full-year report published early Thursday.

“Whilst we recognise the drivers of the sentiment shift, and now model 880 aircraft deliveries in 2026 against 905 previously, we also now see risks skewed to the upside at Q4 results,” Douglas-Pennant said.

Airbus delivered 793 commercial aircraft last year, three more above its target of 790. The company had cut its earlier goal of 820, citing supplier quality issues involving fuselage panels that affected deliveries of its A320 family.

Barclays analysts described the disruption as a “temporary execution setback” and said the “long-term ramp” remained “intact.”

Airbus has enjoyed a strong momentum over the past few years as rival Boeing has been battling a crisis over design and production issues for its best-selling narrowbody plane, the 737 Max. 

Deliveries are a closely watched metric as planemakers receive the bulk of the payment for an aircraft when it’s handed over to the customer. 

Airbus delivered 193 more planes than Boeing in 2025 but Boeing received more orders for the first time since 2018.

That, along with Airbus’ recent quality issues, has led some to see the tide changing for Boeing under the leadership of CEO Kelly Ortberg.

Kelly Ortberg, who took the top job in 2024 to lead it out of crisis, was positive about his company’s ability to ramp up production in the near term, as the company reported fourth-quarter revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in late January.

Airbus and Boeing’s order backlogs have spiked in recent years due to supply chain issues that arose during the Covid-19 pandemic. 

Boeing also secured more deliveries and net orders in the first month of 2026 than Airbus. 

Boeing delivered 46 aircraft in January and booked 103 net orders, while Airbus reported only 19 deliveries and 49 net orders over the same period.

Airbus’ January number was notably soft, even accounting for the fact that its deliveries are typically lower at the start of the year.

“While January deliveries in any given year is not historically a good indicator of production rates for the year, we view 19 deliveries in Jan-26 as materially weaker than expected vs 25 delivered in Jan-25,” said UBS in a note to clients last week.

“Due to the typically low levels YTD, we can’t deduce much from this trend other than that the expected 2026 delivery profile is likely to be back-end-loaded again,” noted Barclays analysts. 

Airbus reported early Thursday adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of 2.98 billion euros in the fourth quarter, in line with estimates from a company-provided consensus poll. Revenues totaled 25.98 billion euros, slightly below the 26.5 billion euros expected.

For the full year, EBIT totaled 7.13 billion euros, on revenue of 73.4 billion euros.

Looking ahead, Airbus said it expects adjusted EBIT of around 7.5 billion euros and free cash flow before customer financing of about 4.5 billion euros in 2026, alongside its target of around 870 commercial aircraft deliveries